{"id":101846,"date":"2019-04-07T09:59:07","date_gmt":"2019-04-07T06:29:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.scfri.com\/?p=790"},"modified":"2022-04-19T15:34:41","modified_gmt":"2022-04-19T11:04:41","slug":"outlook-of-uk-exit-from-the-european-union","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scfr.ir\/en\/news\/101846\/outlook-of-uk-exit-from-the-european-union\/","title":{"rendered":"Outlook of UK Exit from the European Union"},"content":{"rendered":"

The idea of Britain\u2019s exit from the European Union<\/a> known as Brexit<\/a> was raised a long time ago but it still faces many buts and ifs. Former British Prime Minister David Cameron<\/a> promised a referendum on the withdrawal from the European Union before the 2015 general election. Although he was not an advocate of withdrawal, he respected the opposition\u2019s view and held a referendum.<\/p>\n

After him, his successor Theresa May has entered a lengthy process of departure, and over the past two years, she has had complicated, difficult, and unfruitful negotiations with the European Union on the subject. Now and after some agreements were reached it seems like a group of pro-Brexit voters is regretting their votes. These include some members of the British House of Commons, general voters and Britain’s two main parties.<\/p>\n

It should be noted that the foundation of the European Union was laid in 1947, after the Second World War, with the participation of the Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, France, and Germany, and over time, several other countries joined the Union. General De Gaulle was one of the most ardent opponents of the British entry into the EU, and France’s opposition to Britain’s joining the European Economic Community continued throughout the life of De Gaulle until 1973. After this period, Britain entered the European Union but not completely; from the very start the UK was inconsistent with the EU on two issues: first, it was not a Schengen member, and second, its currency (British pound) remained unchanged.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, since Britain was a great advocate of the political and economic rights of the United States in the EU, France, Germany, and other European Union countries did not welcome the presence of London. So over the years, as a result of the disagreements between these countries, the preparations for the British departure from the European Union began almost two and a half years ago, and then, by referring to the public vote 53% wanted an exit from the European Union. It was also agreed that the UK exit from the EU takes place officially by March 29. But the issue of the British exit from the EU has already created very frustrating problems for the UK, and the country has not yet been able to make a definitive decision.<\/p>\n

In fact, the United Kingdom has now three options to pick up from. First to implement the initiative without the agreement of the EU; secondly, to pursue a deal with the European Union, which is a very difficult task; and thirdly, to hold another referendum, while Theresa May’s party is totally opposed to the idea.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, May seeks to preserve the prestige of the Conservative Party, since the two main British parties, the Conservative and the Labor, are facing each other in a full confrontation, and these issues have, to a large extent, undermined the British political-economic atmosphere.<\/p>\n

At the same time, there are some obstacles to the British exit from the European Union, which relates mostly to Britain itself; there are two types of protests and rallies in Britain at present: some are looking for another referendum, and the other group, which is the minority believes that the first referendum has been voted on, and that, the people\u2019s vote must be respected and the procedures must continue accordingly.<\/p>\n

Also, issues related to Northern Ireland, which is still part of the UK, and issues related to the Southern Ireland, which is a member of the European Union, have created problems for this country. It should not be forgotten that Northern Ireland has about 10-15 delegates in the British Parliament, which May does not want to lose. Therefore, the conditions in Britain are very complicated and there are many problems in the way of the government as well as the decision to leave the European Union.<\/p>\n

The economic effects of these problems are also quite evident, as the UK has about 3 million European workers who send money home. Because of its limited geographical location, Britain is also forced to import much of its foodstuff from other countries. Therefore, if the UK leaves the European Union, it may be able to import these materials but will not be subject to European Union discounts.<\/p>\n

Therefore, despite this level of problems, withdrawal from the EU, especially without the consent of the Union, can create a lot of problems for the UK.<\/p>\n

But if Britain and the European Union somehow come to terms, perhaps the problems of London could be reduced to some extent.<\/p>\n

In the end, it seems that Britain will withdraw from the EU based on an agreement with the Union, and the possibility of holding a second referendum is somewhat weak and unlikely. As a result, Britain and the European Union will sign a less ambitious deal so that Britain would not lose all the space of the Union and maintain its position, but it will actually leave the European Union.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Strategic Council Online: The United Kingdom had three options to pick up from. First to implement the initiative without the agreement of the EU; secondly, to pursue a deal with the European Union, which is a very difficult task; and thirdly, to hold another referendum, while Theresa May’s party is totally opposed to the idea.
\nAli Bigdeli – Expert on European Affairs<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":791,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16,34,17],"tags":[22599,13280,33857,26198,13454,19494,33859],"class_list":["post-101846","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-opinion","category-politics","tag-ali-bigdeli-en","tag-brexit-en","tag-british-withdrawal-from-the-european-union-en","tag-eu-en","tag-european-union-en","tag-theresa-may-en","tag-uks-post-brexit-status-en"],"yoast_head":"\nOutlook of UK Exit from the European Union - Strategic Council on Foreign Relations<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Strategic Council Online: The United Kingdom has three options for Brexit. 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