{"id":344836,"date":"2025-07-12T14:57:10","date_gmt":"2025-07-12T11:27:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.scfr.ir\/uncategorized\/344836\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\/"},"modified":"2025-07-12T14:57:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-12T11:27:10","slug":"irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scfr.ir\/en\/economy\/344836\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Potential Capacity in the Large Energy Market"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jalal Mirzaei, in an interview with the website of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations, said: “Iran, as a founding member of OPEC and a key power in the GECF (Gas Exporting Countries Forum), holds the world\u2019s second-largest oil and gas reserves and controls the Strait of Hormuz. It plays a vital role in supplying 20% of the world\u2019s exported oil and ensuring its security. Analysts have warned that a halt in Iran\u2019s exports or a potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz could push Brent crude prices to $130 per barrel and exacerbate global inflation. Despite sanctions, Iran has remained a reliable partner in global energy by emphasizing market balance and stable supply. Iran\u2019s natural gas, if obstacles are removed, could also strengthen regional energy security. The idea of removing Iran from the energy market through sanctions or military action is unrealistic. Experience has shown that oil market stability is only possible with Iran\u2019s active presence. Global cooperation, lifting sanctions, and strengthening diplomacy within OPEC and the GECF are essential for energy security. Iran is not a threat but an irreplaceable partner in ensuring the stability of global markets. Establishing peace in the region and cooperating with Iran will benefit all global actors.”<\/p>\n

Maintaining Iran\u2019s Position in the Global Energy Market Despite Sanctions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mirzaei stated: “Despite severe sanctions, particularly after the escalation of pressure during Donald Trump\u2019s second term, Iran has managed to maintain its position in the global energy market.”<\/p>\n

According to him, “This success is owed to the efforts of managers and experts in the Ministry of Petroleum, who, despite the lack of foreign investment, have sustained oil and gas production and exports, enabling Iran to export approximately 2.2 million barrels of oil per day while meeting domestic demand. This achievement has been made despite Iran\u2019s inability, unlike some neighboring countries, to carry out extensive upstream oil and gas investments.”<\/p>\n

The political science professor noted: “Smart management of existing resources and leveraging domestic expertise have been key to Iran\u2019s continued presence in the global energy market. This approach, along with flexibility in finding new markets, has allowed Iran to resist sanction pressures and maintain its role as a key player in global energy supply. However, sustaining this trend requires more precise policymaking and support for the domestic private sector.”<\/p>\n

On energy independence, Mirzaei emphasized: “Nuclear and renewable energy complement each other, and contrary to some propaganda, these two sectors can synergistically contribute to Iran\u2019s energy self-sufficiency.”<\/p>\n

He pointed out: “Neighboring countries, such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia, have tripled their production capacity compared to Iran through massive investments in renewables, but Iran faces propaganda and implementation challenges in this field. One major issue is the excessive focus on pre-project propaganda, particularly regarding nuclear energy projects, which often creates obstacles in the development process and increases costs.”<\/p>\n

According to this expert, “Nuclear energy, as an advanced technology, not only helps provide sustainable energy but also strengthens Iran\u2019s position as a leading country in science and technology. Meanwhile, developing renewables, such as solar and wind, can reduce dependence on fossil fuels and diversify Iran\u2019s energy portfolio.”<\/p>\n

Mirzaei stressed: “Coordination between these two sectors, along with reducing unnecessary propaganda\u2014especially in the nuclear field\u2014can guarantee Iran\u2019s energy independence.”<\/p>\n

Potential for Regional Cooperation to Turn Iran into an Energy Hub<\/strong><\/p>\n

From Mirzaei\u2019s perspective, regional cooperation, particularly energy agreements with countries like China and India, holds significant potential to position Iran as a future energy hub. He believes: “With strong political will from the government, coordination by the Supreme Council of the Heads of the Three Branches, and necessary groundwork, Iran can increase its production capacity by attracting upstream oil and gas investments. For example, adding one million barrels per day to oil production and increasing gas output could enhance Iran\u2019s influence in energy markets, particularly in East Asia.”<\/p>\n

However, the political science professor pointed to existing obstacles, including financial constraints and sanctions, emphasizing: “By removing these barriers, prioritizing these goals in next year\u2019s budget, and adopting coherent policies\u2014such as signing regional agreements like cooperation with China\u2014Iran can not only attract investment but also open new markets for its energy exports. These collaborations, leveraging Iran\u2019s geopolitical position as a bridge between East and West, can solidify the country\u2019s role as a regional and global energy power.”<\/p>\n

Impact of the 12-Day War and Future Threats on Iran\u2019s Energy Market<\/strong><\/p>\n

Further, Mirzaei referred to the developments following the 12-day imposed war against Iran in June 2025 and its impact on regional and global energy dynamics, stating: “Some analyses suggest potential future attacks on Iran\u2019s refineries and oil infrastructure, which could disrupt production and exports. Mirzaei attributes these concerns to the media narrative pushed by domestic and foreign adversaries, aimed at portraying the war as ongoing to drive capital flight and reduce investment in Iran\u2019s energy sector.”<\/p>\n

He believes: “This media narrative could plunge Iran\u2019s economy into recession and turn economic growth negative.”<\/p>\n

Mirzaei stressed: “We must not fuel these tensions or create domestic unrest. Instead of focusing on these threats in public discourse, the armed forces and security agencies should manage these challenges with full preparedness.”<\/p>\n

The political science professor argued: “Maintaining domestic calm and focusing on energy infrastructure development is key to countering these threats. Relying on domestic capabilities and regional cooperation, Iran can mitigate the negative effects of this media narrative and preserve its position in the global energy market.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Strategic Council Online \u2013 Interview: An energy affairs analyst stated that the recent imposed war by the Zionist regime and the U.S. against Iran, which Donald Trump described as a military success, has disrupted energy markets and intensified concerns over rising oil prices. This event once again underscored Iran\u2019s decisive position in the oil and gas market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":344824,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13,13289,12726],"tags":[35557,33629,12741,43145,18068,18311,12870,13078],"class_list":{"0":"post-344836","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-economy","8":"category-interview","9":"category-10-en-2","10":"tag--en","11":"tag-global-energy-market","13":"tag-jalal-mirzaei","14":"tag-oil-and-gas","15":"tag-strait-of-hormuz-en","17":"tag---en"},"yoast_head":"\nIran\u2019s Potential Capacity in the Large Energy Market - Strategic Council on Foreign Relations<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/scfr.ir\/en\/economy\/344836\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\/\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/scfr.ir\\\/en\\\/economy\\\/344836\\\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/scfr.ir\\\/en\\\/economy\\\/344836\\\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"\u062c\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0645\u062f\u062f\u06cc\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.scfr.ir\\\/fa\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/35df72a1a82f18cf1cb487d0c5afdb26\"},\"headline\":\"Iran\u2019s Potential Capacity in the Large Energy Market\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-12T11:27:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/scfr.ir\\\/en\\\/economy\\\/344836\\\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":929,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.scfr.ir\\\/fa\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/scfr.ir\\\/en\\\/economy\\\/344836\\\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/scfr.ir\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/8051688_538.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Energy\",\"global energy market\",\"Iran\",\"Jalal Mirzaei\",\"Oil and gas\",\"Strait of Hormuz\",\"USA\",\"Zionist regime\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Economy\",\"interview\",\"top news\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/scfr.ir\\\/en\\\/economy\\\/344836\\\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/scfr.ir\\\/en\\\/economy\\\/344836\\\/irans-potential-capacity-in-the-large-energy-market\\\/\",\"name\":\"Iran\u2019s Potential Capacity in the Large Energy Market - 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