Moscow Center, which writes: “Nuclear exercises are the alternative language of Russian diplomacy. A form of bargaining from a position of strength in conditions where political options have become limited.”<\/p>\n
On the American side, Brookings has warned with a different perspective that Trump’s proposal to stop the war at the current lines would, “in practice, mean recognizing Russia’s military gains.” From Brookings’ perspective, such an agreement might lead to a temporary end to the conflict, but it would be an “unstable peace” that would merely give Russia an opportunity to rebuild its forces.<\/p>\n
In contrast, the Quincy Institute has welcomed Trump’s proposal, writing: “There is no longer a military solution. Accepting the current contact lines could be a starting point for a lasting ceasefire.”<\/p>\n
In summary, recent developments point to three simultaneous trends: first, the clear return of nuclear logic to global politics; second, the intensification of limited, targeted conflicts on Russian and Ukrainian soil; and third, a diplomatic stalemate that even Washington’s political will has been unable to break.<\/p>\n
Under such conditions, the outlook for the Ukraine war in the fall of 2025 is more ambiguous than ever. If the Trump-Putin meeting eventually takes place, it might open the path for new negotiations. But if the current suspension continues, the world will face a situation in which every missile test or nuclear exercise itself becomes a tool for negotiation or threat. In the words of prominent Russian analyst Fyodor Lukyanov, “Russia’s exercises today are, in fact, missile diplomacy \u2013 a method of speaking to a world that does not listen to the language of traditional diplomacy.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Strategic Council Online\u2013 Opinion: Russia’s recent nuclear exercises, under the direct supervision of Vladimir Putin, were not merely a military drill. Instead, they constituted a calculated show of force amidst a weakening diplomatic process and the suspension of a potential Trump-Putin meeting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":383721,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,13268,12726],"tags":[12740,13284,13322,44144,16275,13354,12872,35560,12870],"class_list":["post-383740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-defense-security","category-note","category-10-en-2","tag--en","tag-morteza-makki-en","tag-nato-en-2","tag-nuclear-exercises","tag-putin","tag-russia-en-2","tag---en"],"yoast_head":"\n