{"id":383828,"date":"2025-11-08T09:51:25","date_gmt":"2025-11-08T06:21:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.scfr.ir\/uncategorized\/383828\/the-prospect-of-a-possible-trade-agreement-between-the-united-states-and-china\/"},"modified":"2025-11-08T09:51:25","modified_gmt":"2025-11-08T06:21:25","slug":"the-prospect-of-a-possible-trade-agreement-between-the-united-states-and-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scfr.ir\/en\/economy\/383828\/the-prospect-of-a-possible-trade-agreement-between-the-united-states-and-china\/","title":{"rendered":"The Prospect of a Possible Trade Agreement between the United States and China"},"content":{"rendered":"

An Agreement in the Shadow of Rivalry: Redefining U.S.\u2013China Interaction<\/strong><\/p>\n

Seyed Jalal Sadatian, in an interview with the website of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations, said: \u201cThe possible U.S.\u2013China agreement is less an end to the trade war than a strategic adjustment between two major powers seeking to manage intra-systemic competition.\u201d The university lecturer explained: \u201cAfter years of tariff wars and market instability, both sides have realized that the continuation of tensions poses a threat to global economic growth.\u201d<\/p>\n

Referring to China\u2019s postponement of restrictions on the export of rare earth elements and the U.S. decision to refrain from imposing heavy tariffs on Chinese goods, he noted: \u201cThese decisions reflect a return to economic rationality. Both countries have concluded that in a world with deeply intertwined supply chains, a policy of maximum pressure produces counterproductive results.\u201d<\/p>\n

Sadatian added: \u201cThe United States, on the one hand, seeks to prevent excessive dependence\u2014both its own and that of other countries\u2014on China\u2019s economy and production capacity; on the other hand, it does not want the economic crisis caused by the trade war to undermine the global position of the dollar or destabilize stock markets. Meanwhile, China, fully aware of the sensitivity of America\u2019s internal structural dynamics, is trying to maintain calm in its economic environment by offering limited concessions, so that it can focus more on other arenas of competition, such as advanced technologies and artificial intelligence.\u201d<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Economic and Psychological Impact of the Agreement on Global Markets<\/strong><\/p>\n

Sadatian continued: \u201cThe likelihood of the two countries moving closer to an agreement has quickly affected financial markets, leading to a decrease in gold prices and a rise in stock indices in Asia and the United States.\u201d He emphasized: \u201cThis reaction reflects the market\u2019s hope for stability, though that stability is fragile and temporary.\u201d<\/p>\n

According to him, \u201cGold has always been an indicator of the level of geopolitical uncertainty in the world, and whenever the prospects for cooperation among major powers become clearer, demand for it decreases. However, this decline should not be interpreted as the end of the crisis, as competition in technology and energy continues unabated. The current agreement resembles a temporary ceasefire rather than a lasting peace.\u201d<\/p>\n

He explained: \u201cA significant part of the potential agreement concerns digital technologies and data ownership\u2014an issue that, in his view, will shape the future of the global economy.\u201d Sadatian added: \u201cIn fact, the cases of TikTok and rare earth minerals represent two faces of a single struggle\u2014a struggle for control over the infrastructure of the twenty-first-century economy.\u201d<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The New Economic Order and the Shift in the Global Balance of Power<\/strong><\/p>\n

Sadatian further stated: \u201cA possible agreement between Washington and Beijing, on a larger scale, signals the beginning of a new phase in great-power competition.\u201d The university lecturer believes that \u201cthe international system is transitioning from an era of unipolar globalization to a dependent multi-centered structure\u2014a condition in which countries are simultaneously engaged in both rivalry and cooperation.\u201d<\/p>\n

The analyst emphasized: \u201cThis agreement could shape a new model of interaction among major powers\u2014one in which economic cooperation becomes a tool for managing political competition. Unlike the Cold War era, when economic and political boundaries overlapped, today even rival powers are compelled to engage economically.\u201d<\/p>\n

He pointed out that \u201csuch a model could, in the future, spread to other major actors, including the European Union and India, forming a kind of economic multipolarity in which interdependence prevents the escalation of geopolitical tensions.\u201d Sadatian said: \u201cIf this path continues, we will witness the emergence of a new order built not on unilateral American dominance, but on the regulated competition of major powers\u2014an order that brings both opportunities and challenges for the world. Under these circumstances, the countries capable of quickly adapting to new trade and technological rules will be the future winners.\u201d<\/p>\n

Sadatian stressed: \u201cThe U.S.\u2013China agreement is not merely an economic file; it symbolizes the transition to a new era in international politics\u2014an era in which competition within cooperation replaces direct confrontation, and the management of interdependence becomes the most important instrument of power.\u201d<\/p>\n

He also stated that \u201cthe recent meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea indicated both countries\u2019 willingness to reduce tensions. However, the realities on the ground suggest that this economic truce is based more on tactical calculations than on genuine trust.\u201d<\/p>\n

The university professor concluded: \u201cDespite efforts to manage the crisis, the two countries remain entangled in a complex web of political, technological, and geopolitical disputes that prevent the formation of a lasting agreement.\u201d<\/p>\n

The analyst added, \u201cWashington seeks to reshape the political order in East Asia through economic means. Even if an economic agreement between the United States and China is reached, it will be less an end to the conflict than the beginning of a tense coexistence within the structure of global power.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Strategic Council Online\u2013 Interview: An international relations expert stated that the growing possibility of a trade agreement between the United States and China following the recent meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in South Korea is not a strategic economic reconciliation, but rather a tactical move by Beijing in the process of restructuring power within the emerging world order.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":383794,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13,13289,12726],"tags":[13227,35555,23493,16362,16272,44172,12870],"class_list":["post-383828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-interview","category-10-en-2","tag-china-en-2","tag--en","tag-seyed-jalal-sadatian","tag-tarrif","tag-trade-competition","tag-u-s-china-trade-agreement"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Prospect of a Possible Trade Agreement between the United States and China - 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