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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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Kamran Karami

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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Kamran Karami

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

Kamran Karami

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

Kamran Karami

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

Kamran Karami

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

Kamran Karami

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

Kamran Karami

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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