جدیدترین مطالب

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Economy

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

2026/06/17

SCFRonline– Opinion: Iran’s geopolitical power is not limited solely to oil and the Strait of Hormuz; the unintended emergence of disruptions in the future global food and energy security chains can also demonstrate Iran’s strategic importance.

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

2026/05/28

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

2026/05/12

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

2026/04/26

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Following the intensification of war crimes by the Zionist regime in Lebanon and Palestine, as well as acts of warmongering that have weakened the foundations of peace, stability, and sustainable security in the region—producing highly destructive economic, security, and political consequences at the global level—for the first time since the establishment of the Israeli regime in 1948, a wave of coordinated and increasing pressure has emerged in Europe to halt military cooperation with this regime; a wave that is influenced by the growing opposition of European public opinion to the criminal actions of the Zionist regime in West Asia.

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Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Economy

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

2026/06/17

SCFRonline– Opinion: Iran’s geopolitical power is not limited solely to oil and the Strait of Hormuz; the unintended emergence of disruptions in the future global food and energy security chains can also demonstrate Iran’s strategic importance.

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

2026/05/28

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

2026/05/12

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

2026/04/26

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Following the intensification of war crimes by the Zionist regime in Lebanon and Palestine, as well as acts of warmongering that have weakened the foundations of peace, stability, and sustainable security in the region—producing highly destructive economic, security, and political consequences at the global level—for the first time since the establishment of the Israeli regime in 1948, a wave of coordinated and increasing pressure has emerged in Europe to halt military cooperation with this regime; a wave that is influenced by the growing opposition of European public opinion to the criminal actions of the Zionist regime in West Asia.

Economy

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

2026/06/17

SCFRonline– Opinion: Iran’s geopolitical power is not limited solely to oil and the Strait of Hormuz; the unintended emergence of disruptions in the future global food and energy security chains can also demonstrate Iran’s strategic importance.

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

2026/05/28

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

2026/05/12

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

2026/04/26

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Following the intensification of war crimes by the Zionist regime in Lebanon and Palestine, as well as acts of warmongering that have weakened the foundations of peace, stability, and sustainable security in the region—producing highly destructive economic, security, and political consequences at the global level—for the first time since the establishment of the Israeli regime in 1948, a wave of coordinated and increasing pressure has emerged in Europe to halt military cooperation with this regime; a wave that is influenced by the growing opposition of European public opinion to the criminal actions of the Zionist regime in West Asia.

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Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Economy

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

2026/06/17

SCFRonline– Opinion: Iran’s geopolitical power is not limited solely to oil and the Strait of Hormuz; the unintended emergence of disruptions in the future global food and energy security chains can also demonstrate Iran’s strategic importance.

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

2026/05/28

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

2026/05/12

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

2026/04/26

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Following the intensification of war crimes by the Zionist regime in Lebanon and Palestine, as well as acts of warmongering that have weakened the foundations of peace, stability, and sustainable security in the region—producing highly destructive economic, security, and political consequences at the global level—for the first time since the establishment of the Israeli regime in 1948, a wave of coordinated and increasing pressure has emerged in Europe to halt military cooperation with this regime; a wave that is influenced by the growing opposition of European public opinion to the criminal actions of the Zionist regime in West Asia.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

Loading

Economy

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

2026/06/17

SCFRonline– Opinion: Iran’s geopolitical power is not limited solely to oil and the Strait of Hormuz; the unintended emergence of disruptions in the future global food and energy security chains can also demonstrate Iran’s strategic importance.

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

2026/05/28

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

2026/05/12

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

2026/04/26

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Following the intensification of war crimes by the Zionist regime in Lebanon and Palestine, as well as acts of warmongering that have weakened the foundations of peace, stability, and sustainable security in the region—producing highly destructive economic, security, and political consequences at the global level—for the first time since the establishment of the Israeli regime in 1948, a wave of coordinated and increasing pressure has emerged in Europe to halt military cooperation with this regime; a wave that is influenced by the growing opposition of European public opinion to the criminal actions of the Zionist regime in West Asia.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

Loading

Economy

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

2026/06/17

SCFRonline– Opinion: Iran’s geopolitical power is not limited solely to oil and the Strait of Hormuz; the unintended emergence of disruptions in the future global food and energy security chains can also demonstrate Iran’s strategic importance.

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

2026/05/28

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

2026/05/12

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

2026/04/26

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Following the intensification of war crimes by the Zionist regime in Lebanon and Palestine, as well as acts of warmongering that have weakened the foundations of peace, stability, and sustainable security in the region—producing highly destructive economic, security, and political consequences at the global level—for the first time since the establishment of the Israeli regime in 1948, a wave of coordinated and increasing pressure has emerged in Europe to halt military cooperation with this regime; a wave that is influenced by the growing opposition of European public opinion to the criminal actions of the Zionist regime in West Asia.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

Loading

Economy

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

Iran’s Potential Levers of Power

2026/06/17

SCFRonline– Opinion: Iran’s geopolitical power is not limited solely to oil and the Strait of Hormuz; the unintended emergence of disruptions in the future global food and energy security chains can also demonstrate Iran’s strategic importance.

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

2026/05/28

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

2026/05/12

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

Public Pressure to Halt Military Cooperation with the Zionist Regime

2026/04/26

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Following the intensification of war crimes by the Zionist regime in Lebanon and Palestine, as well as acts of warmongering that have weakened the foundations of peace, stability, and sustainable security in the region—producing highly destructive economic, security, and political consequences at the global level—for the first time since the establishment of the Israeli regime in 1948, a wave of coordinated and increasing pressure has emerged in Europe to halt military cooperation with this regime; a wave that is influenced by the growing opposition of European public opinion to the criminal actions of the Zionist regime in West Asia.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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