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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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King Salman

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: The developments occurring in Saudi Arabia in recent weeks for quantitative and qualitative reasons are considerably detached from the traditional process, based on general and current standards in the country. Meantime, some observers and analysts evaluate the situation of political trends in Saudi Arabia to be different from the previous years.
Abolghasem Delfi – Former Iranian Ambassador

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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King Salman

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: The developments occurring in Saudi Arabia in recent weeks for quantitative and qualitative reasons are considerably detached from the traditional process, based on general and current standards in the country. Meantime, some observers and analysts evaluate the situation of political trends in Saudi Arabia to be different from the previous years.
Abolghasem Delfi – Former Iranian Ambassador

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

King Salman

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: The developments occurring in Saudi Arabia in recent weeks for quantitative and qualitative reasons are considerably detached from the traditional process, based on general and current standards in the country. Meantime, some observers and analysts evaluate the situation of political trends in Saudi Arabia to be different from the previous years.
Abolghasem Delfi – Former Iranian Ambassador

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

King Salman

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: The developments occurring in Saudi Arabia in recent weeks for quantitative and qualitative reasons are considerably detached from the traditional process, based on general and current standards in the country. Meantime, some observers and analysts evaluate the situation of political trends in Saudi Arabia to be different from the previous years.
Abolghasem Delfi – Former Iranian Ambassador

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

King Salman

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: The developments occurring in Saudi Arabia in recent weeks for quantitative and qualitative reasons are considerably detached from the traditional process, based on general and current standards in the country. Meantime, some observers and analysts evaluate the situation of political trends in Saudi Arabia to be different from the previous years.
Abolghasem Delfi – Former Iranian Ambassador

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

King Salman

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: The developments occurring in Saudi Arabia in recent weeks for quantitative and qualitative reasons are considerably detached from the traditional process, based on general and current standards in the country. Meantime, some observers and analysts evaluate the situation of political trends in Saudi Arabia to be different from the previous years.
Abolghasem Delfi – Former Iranian Ambassador

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

King Salman

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

New Crises and a Tough Test for Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: The developments occurring in Saudi Arabia in recent weeks for quantitative and qualitative reasons are considerably detached from the traditional process, based on general and current standards in the country. Meantime, some observers and analysts evaluate the situation of political trends in Saudi Arabia to be different from the previous years.
Abolghasem Delfi – Former Iranian Ambassador

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Three Scenarios on Wave of Arrests in Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: King Salman has persuaded Saudi princes by a number of tools such as repression, appeasement, relative consensus and buying loyalty that the Saudi gerontocracy structure needs mobility by a young prince from the House of Sudairi who would simultaneously maintain the territorial integrity, survival of the kingdom and power preservation. There is a strong connection in the House of Al Saud.
Kamran Karami – Arabian Peninsula researcher

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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