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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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SCFR Online

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Strategic Council Online – Guest Note: The recent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the early months of 2026, beyond a periodic tension, has acted as a catalyst for a fundamental reconfiguration of the Middle East’s geopolitical order.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

SCFR Online – Note: Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz constitutes an undeniable geopolitical reality, and any military operation aimed at reopening the strait without securing Tehran’s political consent is doomed to failure. Iran has demonstrably proven its dominion over the global energy and fertilizer lifelines. Hormoz Bayani – Economic Affairs Analyst

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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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SCFR Online

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Strategic Council Online – Guest Note: The recent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the early months of 2026, beyond a periodic tension, has acted as a catalyst for a fundamental reconfiguration of the Middle East’s geopolitical order.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

SCFR Online – Note: Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz constitutes an undeniable geopolitical reality, and any military operation aimed at reopening the strait without securing Tehran’s political consent is doomed to failure. Iran has demonstrably proven its dominion over the global energy and fertilizer lifelines. Hormoz Bayani – Economic Affairs Analyst

SCFR Online

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Strategic Council Online – Guest Note: The recent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the early months of 2026, beyond a periodic tension, has acted as a catalyst for a fundamental reconfiguration of the Middle East’s geopolitical order.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

SCFR Online – Note: Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz constitutes an undeniable geopolitical reality, and any military operation aimed at reopening the strait without securing Tehran’s political consent is doomed to failure. Iran has demonstrably proven its dominion over the global energy and fertilizer lifelines. Hormoz Bayani – Economic Affairs Analyst

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The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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SCFR Online

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Strategic Council Online – Guest Note: The recent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the early months of 2026, beyond a periodic tension, has acted as a catalyst for a fundamental reconfiguration of the Middle East’s geopolitical order.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

SCFR Online – Note: Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz constitutes an undeniable geopolitical reality, and any military operation aimed at reopening the strait without securing Tehran’s political consent is doomed to failure. Iran has demonstrably proven its dominion over the global energy and fertilizer lifelines. Hormoz Bayani – Economic Affairs Analyst

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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SCFR Online

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Strategic Council Online – Guest Note: The recent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the early months of 2026, beyond a periodic tension, has acted as a catalyst for a fundamental reconfiguration of the Middle East’s geopolitical order.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

SCFR Online – Note: Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz constitutes an undeniable geopolitical reality, and any military operation aimed at reopening the strait without securing Tehran’s political consent is doomed to failure. Iran has demonstrably proven its dominion over the global energy and fertilizer lifelines. Hormoz Bayani – Economic Affairs Analyst

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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SCFR Online

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Strategic Council Online – Guest Note: The recent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the early months of 2026, beyond a periodic tension, has acted as a catalyst for a fundamental reconfiguration of the Middle East’s geopolitical order.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

SCFR Online – Note: Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz constitutes an undeniable geopolitical reality, and any military operation aimed at reopening the strait without securing Tehran’s political consent is doomed to failure. Iran has demonstrably proven its dominion over the global energy and fertilizer lifelines. Hormoz Bayani – Economic Affairs Analyst

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

Loading

SCFR Online

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Analysis of the New Security Order in the Region

Strategic Council Online – Guest Note: The recent military aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the early months of 2026, beyond a periodic tension, has acted as a catalyst for a fundamental reconfiguration of the Middle East’s geopolitical order.

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

The Global Energy Shock Situation and Future Scenarios

SCFR Online – Opinion: Only one month after the beginning of the Ramadan War, maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz decreased dramatically, with Bloomberg announcing a reduction of 103 vessels; Brent oil prices rose by more than 50 percent, and gasoline prices in the United States increased by 31.4 percent. Additionally, benchmark gas prices in Europe showed a 73.4 percent increase.

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

The “Hormuz Coalition”: A Maritime Security Illusion

SCFR Online – Note: Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz constitutes an undeniable geopolitical reality, and any military operation aimed at reopening the strait without securing Tehran’s political consent is doomed to failure. Iran has demonstrably proven its dominion over the global energy and fertilizer lifelines. Hormoz Bayani – Economic Affairs Analyst

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

The Makkah Pact Under scrutiny; From the “Deterrence Dilemma” to the “Risk of Disrupting Security”

SCFR Online – Opinion: The Makkah Pact, signed on August 7, 2026, between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, is more than an answer to geopolitical vacuums; in practice, it faces a “deterrence dilemma” and “differing threat perception.” While this pact symbolizes a transition toward regional self-reliance, its first field tests and the complexities of relations with regional actors will determine its real meaning.

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