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Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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The withdrawal of Russian forces from the South Caucasus

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

2024/05/04

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Caucasus affairs said: Following news reports that the Kremlin has implicitly confirmed that Russian peacekeepers are withdrawing from the Nagorno-Karabakh region and taking their weapons and equipment with them, this question is seriously raised: Does Russia want to hand over the South Caucasus region to the West?

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Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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The withdrawal of Russian forces from the South Caucasus

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

2024/05/04

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Caucasus affairs said: Following news reports that the Kremlin has implicitly confirmed that Russian peacekeepers are withdrawing from the Nagorno-Karabakh region and taking their weapons and equipment with them, this question is seriously raised: Does Russia want to hand over the South Caucasus region to the West?

The withdrawal of Russian forces from the South Caucasus

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

2024/05/04

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Caucasus affairs said: Following news reports that the Kremlin has implicitly confirmed that Russian peacekeepers are withdrawing from the Nagorno-Karabakh region and taking their weapons and equipment with them, this question is seriously raised: Does Russia want to hand over the South Caucasus region to the West?

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Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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The withdrawal of Russian forces from the South Caucasus

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

2024/05/04

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Caucasus affairs said: Following news reports that the Kremlin has implicitly confirmed that Russian peacekeepers are withdrawing from the Nagorno-Karabakh region and taking their weapons and equipment with them, this question is seriously raised: Does Russia want to hand over the South Caucasus region to the West?

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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The withdrawal of Russian forces from the South Caucasus

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

2024/05/04

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Caucasus affairs said: Following news reports that the Kremlin has implicitly confirmed that Russian peacekeepers are withdrawing from the Nagorno-Karabakh region and taking their weapons and equipment with them, this question is seriously raised: Does Russia want to hand over the South Caucasus region to the West?

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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The withdrawal of Russian forces from the South Caucasus

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

2024/05/04

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Caucasus affairs said: Following news reports that the Kremlin has implicitly confirmed that Russian peacekeepers are withdrawing from the Nagorno-Karabakh region and taking their weapons and equipment with them, this question is seriously raised: Does Russia want to hand over the South Caucasus region to the West?

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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The withdrawal of Russian forces from the South Caucasus

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

Withdrawal of Russian Forces from South Caucasus; Strategy or Tactic?

2024/05/04

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Caucasus affairs said: Following news reports that the Kremlin has implicitly confirmed that Russian peacekeepers are withdrawing from the Nagorno-Karabakh region and taking their weapons and equipment with them, this question is seriously raised: Does Russia want to hand over the South Caucasus region to the West?

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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