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Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Trump and the Iran War

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

2026/03/30

SCFR Online – Report: The joint US-Zionist regime attack on Iran has placed Washington on the verge of one of its most sensitive strategic decisions. Donald Trump, who had previously presented intervention in Venezuela as a successful model for exerting pressure on more steadfast adversaries, now faces the temptation of replicating this model vis-à-vis Iran.

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Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Trump and the Iran War

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

2026/03/30

SCFR Online – Report: The joint US-Zionist regime attack on Iran has placed Washington on the verge of one of its most sensitive strategic decisions. Donald Trump, who had previously presented intervention in Venezuela as a successful model for exerting pressure on more steadfast adversaries, now faces the temptation of replicating this model vis-à-vis Iran.

Trump and the Iran War

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

2026/03/30

SCFR Online – Report: The joint US-Zionist regime attack on Iran has placed Washington on the verge of one of its most sensitive strategic decisions. Donald Trump, who had previously presented intervention in Venezuela as a successful model for exerting pressure on more steadfast adversaries, now faces the temptation of replicating this model vis-à-vis Iran.

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Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Trump and the Iran War

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

2026/03/30

SCFR Online – Report: The joint US-Zionist regime attack on Iran has placed Washington on the verge of one of its most sensitive strategic decisions. Donald Trump, who had previously presented intervention in Venezuela as a successful model for exerting pressure on more steadfast adversaries, now faces the temptation of replicating this model vis-à-vis Iran.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Trump and the Iran War

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

2026/03/30

SCFR Online – Report: The joint US-Zionist regime attack on Iran has placed Washington on the verge of one of its most sensitive strategic decisions. Donald Trump, who had previously presented intervention in Venezuela as a successful model for exerting pressure on more steadfast adversaries, now faces the temptation of replicating this model vis-à-vis Iran.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Trump and the Iran War

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

2026/03/30

SCFR Online – Report: The joint US-Zionist regime attack on Iran has placed Washington on the verge of one of its most sensitive strategic decisions. Donald Trump, who had previously presented intervention in Venezuela as a successful model for exerting pressure on more steadfast adversaries, now faces the temptation of replicating this model vis-à-vis Iran.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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Trump and the Iran War

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

A Geopolitical Trap for Trump: The Outcome of a Potential Ground Operation Against Iran—Political Suicide and Economic Catastrophe

2026/03/30

SCFR Online – Report: The joint US-Zionist regime attack on Iran has placed Washington on the verge of one of its most sensitive strategic decisions. Donald Trump, who had previously presented intervention in Venezuela as a successful model for exerting pressure on more steadfast adversaries, now faces the temptation of replicating this model vis-à-vis Iran.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

Balancing in the chain of chokepoints; from sea-based deterrence to pluralistic diplomacy

2026/08/03

Strategic Council Online – Note: Recent developments in the political geography of West Asia, from rising tensions in the Persian Gulf to missile and drone activities in the Red Sea and the recent warning by Kaja Kallas, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, regarding the threat to freedom of navigation, indicate a key pattern shift; the US-Iran war has moved beyond the scope of a regional and local confrontation and has linked two vital passageways for the global economy: the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

Indicators for Choosing Between War and Diplomacy

2026/07/23

SCFR Online – Opinion: Foreign policy analysis is valid when it evaluates decisions based on the information and circumstances prevailing at the time they were made, not on the basis of outcomes that only become apparent after the crisis has ended.

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