جدیدترین مطالب

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Challenge of Hezbollah’s Low-Cost “FPV” Drones for the Zionist Regime

SCFR Online – Opinion: In modern warfare, it has always been assumed that the more expensive, and advanced the weapon—particularly from well-known companies—the more certain the victory will be. However, developments on the northern front of occupied Palestine in recent months have challenged this long-held belief. Here, the Zionist regime’s military, despite possessing the most advanced defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow, as well as fifth-generation F-35 fighter jets, Merkava tanks, and other modern equipment found in few countries worldwide, has effectively been rendered helpless against Hezbollah Lebanon’s few-hundred-dollar drones. Benjamin Netanyahu’s bitter admission regarding the inability to counter this threat, and his order to allocate an unlimited budget to find a solution, underscores the reality that the era of pure superiority through expensive technologies has come to an end.

The Impact of West Asian Developments on the Ukraine War

SCFR Online – Note: Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, recently announced—more than four years after the commencement of military aggression against Ukraine—that he believes the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is drawing to a close.

Temporary China–U.S. Trade Truce in the Shadow of Fundamental Distrust

SCFR Online – Opinion: The recent visit of the President of the United States to China is significant from various aspects; because China is recognized as the world’s second-largest economic power and a growing economy. The Chinese are also advancing in various fields, including the space sector, artificial intelligence, and military industries; to the extent that in the military sector, whereas they previously lacked an aircraft carrier, they now possess their third aircraft carrier. On the other hand, the United States, as a superpower, has always regarded China as its rival and continues to view it as such today.

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Lebanon

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

SCFR Online – Interview: An analyst of West Asian affairs and former Iranian diplomat in Beirut, stating that Hezbollah Lebanon has played a pivotal role in recent regional developments, remarked: “Hezbollah Lebanon has strengthened the Axis of Resistance in the Ramadan War.”

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: American-Zionist objectives in the region are not limited to weakening Hezbollah. Efforts to disarm Iraqi resistance groups such as Kata’ib Hezbollah and the Popular Mobilization Forces are also part of their subsequent plans.

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

Redefining the Discourse of Resistance After the 12-Day War

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A West Asia affairs analyst said: After the 12-day war, Iran, by redefining the discourse of resistance and utilizing media diplomacy, strengthened its soft and regional legitimacy against the Western narrative.

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

Online Strategic Council – Interview: The former Director-General of the Middle East at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: The U.S. plan to disarm Lebanon’s Hezbollah, based on Resolution 1701 issued in 2006, is not a new issue, but its timing, coinciding with the Gaza War, which started in October 2023, has placed it in a different context. This is because, simultaneously with the Gaza War, Syria underwent extensive developments, and Lebanon, which had entered the Gaza War through Hezbollah, suddenly signed a ceasefire agreement with the Israeli regime.

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The plan recently approved by the Lebanese government regarding the disarmament of Hezbollah is, in fact, an American project and scheme, which should be analyzed and assessed within the context of the developments of the past year in Lebanon, specifically the war waged by the Israeli regime against this country. The overarching goal of presenting such a plan is to enable the Israeli regime to impose new security arrangements in Lebanon as part of its efforts to change the regional order.

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A senior analyst on West Asian affairs stated that under the current circumstances, discussing the disarmament of the Resistance is not only unfeasible but could also lead to an escalation of tensions. Following the 12-day aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran, efforts in another layer to disarm Resistance groups, including Hezbollah, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF or Hashd al-Shaabi), and Hamas, have intensified as part of a coordinated project pursued to weaken the Axis of Resistance and impose American regional dominance. The U.S. proposal for Lebanon, which includes disarming Hezbollah by the end of 2025 and the withdrawal of the Israeli regime from border positions, is an attempt to transform an external conflict into an internal one. Hezbollah has firmly rejected this proposal, deeming it a violation of national sovereignty and a service to the interests of the Israeli regime, while emphasizing its defensive role. In Iraq, pressure on the Popular Mobilization Forces has been accompanied by accusations and economic sanctions, yet this group continues to stand as a popular force against external threats. Hamas, despite heavy attacks by the Israeli regime, has continued its resistance and rejected a recent ceasefire proposal in exchange for disarmament. These plans, supported by U.S. and allied diplomatic and economic backing, seek to alter the balance of power in the region. Still, the resistance of the groups and popular support have prevented the realization of these objectives.

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A researcher on Lebanese affairs stated: Under intense US pressure, Lebanon’s current government is hastily finalizing the gas dossier in the Eastern Mediterranean; an action that benefits the US, the Israeli regime, and their allies, and may result in Lebanon losing approximately five thousand square kilometers of area containing its gas and oil wealth. In this regard, the Al-Akhbar newspaper wrote: What is happening today is not merely a maritime negotiation, but a battle over sovereignty and survival that is feared will end unilaterally at a bargaining table where there is no room for national interests.

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Arab world affairs said: One of the Zionist regime’s primary motives for insisting on disarming Hezbollah is to create a security vacuum in Lebanon so that, if needed, the possibility of attacking it again is provided. Today, Lebanon is witnessing one of its most sensitive political junctures in recent years; the Lebanese cabinet, in its recent session chaired by Najib Mikati, the country’s Prime Minister, approved the content of the US proposal for disarming Hezbollah and monopolizing weapons in the hands of the army, despite opposition from some ministers. The US proposal, which has faced firm opposition from the Hezbollah, was brought to Beirut by Thomas Barrack, the US Special Envoy, and with a paternalistic approach, considers disarming the Hezbollah a precondition for starting any dialogue and border demarcation, explicitly stating that this plan must either be entirely accepted or Lebanon must accept the consequences of its rejection.

أحدث الوظائف

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Challenge of Hezbollah’s Low-Cost “FPV” Drones for the Zionist Regime

SCFR Online – Opinion: In modern warfare, it has always been assumed that the more expensive, and advanced the weapon—particularly from well-known companies—the more certain the victory will be. However, developments on the northern front of occupied Palestine in recent months have challenged this long-held belief. Here, the Zionist regime’s military, despite possessing the most advanced defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow, as well as fifth-generation F-35 fighter jets, Merkava tanks, and other modern equipment found in few countries worldwide, has effectively been rendered helpless against Hezbollah Lebanon’s few-hundred-dollar drones. Benjamin Netanyahu’s bitter admission regarding the inability to counter this threat, and his order to allocate an unlimited budget to find a solution, underscores the reality that the era of pure superiority through expensive technologies has come to an end.

The Impact of West Asian Developments on the Ukraine War

SCFR Online – Note: Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, recently announced—more than four years after the commencement of military aggression against Ukraine—that he believes the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is drawing to a close.

Temporary China–U.S. Trade Truce in the Shadow of Fundamental Distrust

SCFR Online – Opinion: The recent visit of the President of the United States to China is significant from various aspects; because China is recognized as the world’s second-largest economic power and a growing economy. The Chinese are also advancing in various fields, including the space sector, artificial intelligence, and military industries; to the extent that in the military sector, whereas they previously lacked an aircraft carrier, they now possess their third aircraft carrier. On the other hand, the United States, as a superpower, has always regarded China as its rival and continues to view it as such today.

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Lebanon

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

SCFR Online – Interview: An analyst of West Asian affairs and former Iranian diplomat in Beirut, stating that Hezbollah Lebanon has played a pivotal role in recent regional developments, remarked: “Hezbollah Lebanon has strengthened the Axis of Resistance in the Ramadan War.”

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: American-Zionist objectives in the region are not limited to weakening Hezbollah. Efforts to disarm Iraqi resistance groups such as Kata’ib Hezbollah and the Popular Mobilization Forces are also part of their subsequent plans.

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

Redefining the Discourse of Resistance After the 12-Day War

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A West Asia affairs analyst said: After the 12-day war, Iran, by redefining the discourse of resistance and utilizing media diplomacy, strengthened its soft and regional legitimacy against the Western narrative.

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

Online Strategic Council – Interview: The former Director-General of the Middle East at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: The U.S. plan to disarm Lebanon’s Hezbollah, based on Resolution 1701 issued in 2006, is not a new issue, but its timing, coinciding with the Gaza War, which started in October 2023, has placed it in a different context. This is because, simultaneously with the Gaza War, Syria underwent extensive developments, and Lebanon, which had entered the Gaza War through Hezbollah, suddenly signed a ceasefire agreement with the Israeli regime.

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The plan recently approved by the Lebanese government regarding the disarmament of Hezbollah is, in fact, an American project and scheme, which should be analyzed and assessed within the context of the developments of the past year in Lebanon, specifically the war waged by the Israeli regime against this country. The overarching goal of presenting such a plan is to enable the Israeli regime to impose new security arrangements in Lebanon as part of its efforts to change the regional order.

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A senior analyst on West Asian affairs stated that under the current circumstances, discussing the disarmament of the Resistance is not only unfeasible but could also lead to an escalation of tensions. Following the 12-day aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran, efforts in another layer to disarm Resistance groups, including Hezbollah, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF or Hashd al-Shaabi), and Hamas, have intensified as part of a coordinated project pursued to weaken the Axis of Resistance and impose American regional dominance. The U.S. proposal for Lebanon, which includes disarming Hezbollah by the end of 2025 and the withdrawal of the Israeli regime from border positions, is an attempt to transform an external conflict into an internal one. Hezbollah has firmly rejected this proposal, deeming it a violation of national sovereignty and a service to the interests of the Israeli regime, while emphasizing its defensive role. In Iraq, pressure on the Popular Mobilization Forces has been accompanied by accusations and economic sanctions, yet this group continues to stand as a popular force against external threats. Hamas, despite heavy attacks by the Israeli regime, has continued its resistance and rejected a recent ceasefire proposal in exchange for disarmament. These plans, supported by U.S. and allied diplomatic and economic backing, seek to alter the balance of power in the region. Still, the resistance of the groups and popular support have prevented the realization of these objectives.

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A researcher on Lebanese affairs stated: Under intense US pressure, Lebanon’s current government is hastily finalizing the gas dossier in the Eastern Mediterranean; an action that benefits the US, the Israeli regime, and their allies, and may result in Lebanon losing approximately five thousand square kilometers of area containing its gas and oil wealth. In this regard, the Al-Akhbar newspaper wrote: What is happening today is not merely a maritime negotiation, but a battle over sovereignty and survival that is feared will end unilaterally at a bargaining table where there is no room for national interests.

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Arab world affairs said: One of the Zionist regime’s primary motives for insisting on disarming Hezbollah is to create a security vacuum in Lebanon so that, if needed, the possibility of attacking it again is provided. Today, Lebanon is witnessing one of its most sensitive political junctures in recent years; the Lebanese cabinet, in its recent session chaired by Najib Mikati, the country’s Prime Minister, approved the content of the US proposal for disarming Hezbollah and monopolizing weapons in the hands of the army, despite opposition from some ministers. The US proposal, which has faced firm opposition from the Hezbollah, was brought to Beirut by Thomas Barrack, the US Special Envoy, and with a paternalistic approach, considers disarming the Hezbollah a precondition for starting any dialogue and border demarcation, explicitly stating that this plan must either be entirely accepted or Lebanon must accept the consequences of its rejection.

Lebanon

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

SCFR Online – Interview: An analyst of West Asian affairs and former Iranian diplomat in Beirut, stating that Hezbollah Lebanon has played a pivotal role in recent regional developments, remarked: “Hezbollah Lebanon has strengthened the Axis of Resistance in the Ramadan War.”

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: American-Zionist objectives in the region are not limited to weakening Hezbollah. Efforts to disarm Iraqi resistance groups such as Kata’ib Hezbollah and the Popular Mobilization Forces are also part of their subsequent plans.

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

Redefining the Discourse of Resistance After the 12-Day War

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A West Asia affairs analyst said: After the 12-day war, Iran, by redefining the discourse of resistance and utilizing media diplomacy, strengthened its soft and regional legitimacy against the Western narrative.

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

Online Strategic Council – Interview: The former Director-General of the Middle East at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: The U.S. plan to disarm Lebanon’s Hezbollah, based on Resolution 1701 issued in 2006, is not a new issue, but its timing, coinciding with the Gaza War, which started in October 2023, has placed it in a different context. This is because, simultaneously with the Gaza War, Syria underwent extensive developments, and Lebanon, which had entered the Gaza War through Hezbollah, suddenly signed a ceasefire agreement with the Israeli regime.

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The plan recently approved by the Lebanese government regarding the disarmament of Hezbollah is, in fact, an American project and scheme, which should be analyzed and assessed within the context of the developments of the past year in Lebanon, specifically the war waged by the Israeli regime against this country. The overarching goal of presenting such a plan is to enable the Israeli regime to impose new security arrangements in Lebanon as part of its efforts to change the regional order.

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A senior analyst on West Asian affairs stated that under the current circumstances, discussing the disarmament of the Resistance is not only unfeasible but could also lead to an escalation of tensions. Following the 12-day aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran, efforts in another layer to disarm Resistance groups, including Hezbollah, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF or Hashd al-Shaabi), and Hamas, have intensified as part of a coordinated project pursued to weaken the Axis of Resistance and impose American regional dominance. The U.S. proposal for Lebanon, which includes disarming Hezbollah by the end of 2025 and the withdrawal of the Israeli regime from border positions, is an attempt to transform an external conflict into an internal one. Hezbollah has firmly rejected this proposal, deeming it a violation of national sovereignty and a service to the interests of the Israeli regime, while emphasizing its defensive role. In Iraq, pressure on the Popular Mobilization Forces has been accompanied by accusations and economic sanctions, yet this group continues to stand as a popular force against external threats. Hamas, despite heavy attacks by the Israeli regime, has continued its resistance and rejected a recent ceasefire proposal in exchange for disarmament. These plans, supported by U.S. and allied diplomatic and economic backing, seek to alter the balance of power in the region. Still, the resistance of the groups and popular support have prevented the realization of these objectives.

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A researcher on Lebanese affairs stated: Under intense US pressure, Lebanon’s current government is hastily finalizing the gas dossier in the Eastern Mediterranean; an action that benefits the US, the Israeli regime, and their allies, and may result in Lebanon losing approximately five thousand square kilometers of area containing its gas and oil wealth. In this regard, the Al-Akhbar newspaper wrote: What is happening today is not merely a maritime negotiation, but a battle over sovereignty and survival that is feared will end unilaterally at a bargaining table where there is no room for national interests.

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Arab world affairs said: One of the Zionist regime’s primary motives for insisting on disarming Hezbollah is to create a security vacuum in Lebanon so that, if needed, the possibility of attacking it again is provided. Today, Lebanon is witnessing one of its most sensitive political junctures in recent years; the Lebanese cabinet, in its recent session chaired by Najib Mikati, the country’s Prime Minister, approved the content of the US proposal for disarming Hezbollah and monopolizing weapons in the hands of the army, despite opposition from some ministers. The US proposal, which has faced firm opposition from the Hezbollah, was brought to Beirut by Thomas Barrack, the US Special Envoy, and with a paternalistic approach, considers disarming the Hezbollah a precondition for starting any dialogue and border demarcation, explicitly stating that this plan must either be entirely accepted or Lebanon must accept the consequences of its rejection.

LATEST CONTENT

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Challenge of Hezbollah’s Low-Cost “FPV” Drones for the Zionist Regime

SCFR Online – Opinion: In modern warfare, it has always been assumed that the more expensive, and advanced the weapon—particularly from well-known companies—the more certain the victory will be. However, developments on the northern front of occupied Palestine in recent months have challenged this long-held belief. Here, the Zionist regime’s military, despite possessing the most advanced defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow, as well as fifth-generation F-35 fighter jets, Merkava tanks, and other modern equipment found in few countries worldwide, has effectively been rendered helpless against Hezbollah Lebanon’s few-hundred-dollar drones. Benjamin Netanyahu’s bitter admission regarding the inability to counter this threat, and his order to allocate an unlimited budget to find a solution, underscores the reality that the era of pure superiority through expensive technologies has come to an end.

The Impact of West Asian Developments on the Ukraine War

SCFR Online – Note: Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, recently announced—more than four years after the commencement of military aggression against Ukraine—that he believes the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is drawing to a close.

Temporary China–U.S. Trade Truce in the Shadow of Fundamental Distrust

SCFR Online – Opinion: The recent visit of the President of the United States to China is significant from various aspects; because China is recognized as the world’s second-largest economic power and a growing economy. The Chinese are also advancing in various fields, including the space sector, artificial intelligence, and military industries; to the extent that in the military sector, whereas they previously lacked an aircraft carrier, they now possess their third aircraft carrier. On the other hand, the United States, as a superpower, has always regarded China as its rival and continues to view it as such today.

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Lebanon

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

SCFR Online – Interview: An analyst of West Asian affairs and former Iranian diplomat in Beirut, stating that Hezbollah Lebanon has played a pivotal role in recent regional developments, remarked: “Hezbollah Lebanon has strengthened the Axis of Resistance in the Ramadan War.”

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: American-Zionist objectives in the region are not limited to weakening Hezbollah. Efforts to disarm Iraqi resistance groups such as Kata’ib Hezbollah and the Popular Mobilization Forces are also part of their subsequent plans.

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

Redefining the Discourse of Resistance After the 12-Day War

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A West Asia affairs analyst said: After the 12-day war, Iran, by redefining the discourse of resistance and utilizing media diplomacy, strengthened its soft and regional legitimacy against the Western narrative.

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

Online Strategic Council – Interview: The former Director-General of the Middle East at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: The U.S. plan to disarm Lebanon’s Hezbollah, based on Resolution 1701 issued in 2006, is not a new issue, but its timing, coinciding with the Gaza War, which started in October 2023, has placed it in a different context. This is because, simultaneously with the Gaza War, Syria underwent extensive developments, and Lebanon, which had entered the Gaza War through Hezbollah, suddenly signed a ceasefire agreement with the Israeli regime.

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The plan recently approved by the Lebanese government regarding the disarmament of Hezbollah is, in fact, an American project and scheme, which should be analyzed and assessed within the context of the developments of the past year in Lebanon, specifically the war waged by the Israeli regime against this country. The overarching goal of presenting such a plan is to enable the Israeli regime to impose new security arrangements in Lebanon as part of its efforts to change the regional order.

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A senior analyst on West Asian affairs stated that under the current circumstances, discussing the disarmament of the Resistance is not only unfeasible but could also lead to an escalation of tensions. Following the 12-day aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran, efforts in another layer to disarm Resistance groups, including Hezbollah, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF or Hashd al-Shaabi), and Hamas, have intensified as part of a coordinated project pursued to weaken the Axis of Resistance and impose American regional dominance. The U.S. proposal for Lebanon, which includes disarming Hezbollah by the end of 2025 and the withdrawal of the Israeli regime from border positions, is an attempt to transform an external conflict into an internal one. Hezbollah has firmly rejected this proposal, deeming it a violation of national sovereignty and a service to the interests of the Israeli regime, while emphasizing its defensive role. In Iraq, pressure on the Popular Mobilization Forces has been accompanied by accusations and economic sanctions, yet this group continues to stand as a popular force against external threats. Hamas, despite heavy attacks by the Israeli regime, has continued its resistance and rejected a recent ceasefire proposal in exchange for disarmament. These plans, supported by U.S. and allied diplomatic and economic backing, seek to alter the balance of power in the region. Still, the resistance of the groups and popular support have prevented the realization of these objectives.

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A researcher on Lebanese affairs stated: Under intense US pressure, Lebanon’s current government is hastily finalizing the gas dossier in the Eastern Mediterranean; an action that benefits the US, the Israeli regime, and their allies, and may result in Lebanon losing approximately five thousand square kilometers of area containing its gas and oil wealth. In this regard, the Al-Akhbar newspaper wrote: What is happening today is not merely a maritime negotiation, but a battle over sovereignty and survival that is feared will end unilaterally at a bargaining table where there is no room for national interests.

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Arab world affairs said: One of the Zionist regime’s primary motives for insisting on disarming Hezbollah is to create a security vacuum in Lebanon so that, if needed, the possibility of attacking it again is provided. Today, Lebanon is witnessing one of its most sensitive political junctures in recent years; the Lebanese cabinet, in its recent session chaired by Najib Mikati, the country’s Prime Minister, approved the content of the US proposal for disarming Hezbollah and monopolizing weapons in the hands of the army, despite opposition from some ministers. The US proposal, which has faced firm opposition from the Hezbollah, was brought to Beirut by Thomas Barrack, the US Special Envoy, and with a paternalistic approach, considers disarming the Hezbollah a precondition for starting any dialogue and border demarcation, explicitly stating that this plan must either be entirely accepted or Lebanon must accept the consequences of its rejection.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Challenge of Hezbollah’s Low-Cost “FPV” Drones for the Zionist Regime

SCFR Online – Opinion: In modern warfare, it has always been assumed that the more expensive, and advanced the weapon—particularly from well-known companies—the more certain the victory will be. However, developments on the northern front of occupied Palestine in recent months have challenged this long-held belief. Here, the Zionist regime’s military, despite possessing the most advanced defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow, as well as fifth-generation F-35 fighter jets, Merkava tanks, and other modern equipment found in few countries worldwide, has effectively been rendered helpless against Hezbollah Lebanon’s few-hundred-dollar drones. Benjamin Netanyahu’s bitter admission regarding the inability to counter this threat, and his order to allocate an unlimited budget to find a solution, underscores the reality that the era of pure superiority through expensive technologies has come to an end.

The Impact of West Asian Developments on the Ukraine War

SCFR Online – Note: Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, recently announced—more than four years after the commencement of military aggression against Ukraine—that he believes the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is drawing to a close.

Temporary China–U.S. Trade Truce in the Shadow of Fundamental Distrust

SCFR Online – Opinion: The recent visit of the President of the United States to China is significant from various aspects; because China is recognized as the world’s second-largest economic power and a growing economy. The Chinese are also advancing in various fields, including the space sector, artificial intelligence, and military industries; to the extent that in the military sector, whereas they previously lacked an aircraft carrier, they now possess their third aircraft carrier. On the other hand, the United States, as a superpower, has always regarded China as its rival and continues to view it as such today.

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Lebanon

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

SCFR Online – Interview: An analyst of West Asian affairs and former Iranian diplomat in Beirut, stating that Hezbollah Lebanon has played a pivotal role in recent regional developments, remarked: “Hezbollah Lebanon has strengthened the Axis of Resistance in the Ramadan War.”

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: American-Zionist objectives in the region are not limited to weakening Hezbollah. Efforts to disarm Iraqi resistance groups such as Kata’ib Hezbollah and the Popular Mobilization Forces are also part of their subsequent plans.

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

Redefining the Discourse of Resistance After the 12-Day War

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A West Asia affairs analyst said: After the 12-day war, Iran, by redefining the discourse of resistance and utilizing media diplomacy, strengthened its soft and regional legitimacy against the Western narrative.

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

Online Strategic Council – Interview: The former Director-General of the Middle East at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: The U.S. plan to disarm Lebanon’s Hezbollah, based on Resolution 1701 issued in 2006, is not a new issue, but its timing, coinciding with the Gaza War, which started in October 2023, has placed it in a different context. This is because, simultaneously with the Gaza War, Syria underwent extensive developments, and Lebanon, which had entered the Gaza War through Hezbollah, suddenly signed a ceasefire agreement with the Israeli regime.

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The plan recently approved by the Lebanese government regarding the disarmament of Hezbollah is, in fact, an American project and scheme, which should be analyzed and assessed within the context of the developments of the past year in Lebanon, specifically the war waged by the Israeli regime against this country. The overarching goal of presenting such a plan is to enable the Israeli regime to impose new security arrangements in Lebanon as part of its efforts to change the regional order.

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A senior analyst on West Asian affairs stated that under the current circumstances, discussing the disarmament of the Resistance is not only unfeasible but could also lead to an escalation of tensions. Following the 12-day aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran, efforts in another layer to disarm Resistance groups, including Hezbollah, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF or Hashd al-Shaabi), and Hamas, have intensified as part of a coordinated project pursued to weaken the Axis of Resistance and impose American regional dominance. The U.S. proposal for Lebanon, which includes disarming Hezbollah by the end of 2025 and the withdrawal of the Israeli regime from border positions, is an attempt to transform an external conflict into an internal one. Hezbollah has firmly rejected this proposal, deeming it a violation of national sovereignty and a service to the interests of the Israeli regime, while emphasizing its defensive role. In Iraq, pressure on the Popular Mobilization Forces has been accompanied by accusations and economic sanctions, yet this group continues to stand as a popular force against external threats. Hamas, despite heavy attacks by the Israeli regime, has continued its resistance and rejected a recent ceasefire proposal in exchange for disarmament. These plans, supported by U.S. and allied diplomatic and economic backing, seek to alter the balance of power in the region. Still, the resistance of the groups and popular support have prevented the realization of these objectives.

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A researcher on Lebanese affairs stated: Under intense US pressure, Lebanon’s current government is hastily finalizing the gas dossier in the Eastern Mediterranean; an action that benefits the US, the Israeli regime, and their allies, and may result in Lebanon losing approximately five thousand square kilometers of area containing its gas and oil wealth. In this regard, the Al-Akhbar newspaper wrote: What is happening today is not merely a maritime negotiation, but a battle over sovereignty and survival that is feared will end unilaterally at a bargaining table where there is no room for national interests.

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Arab world affairs said: One of the Zionist regime’s primary motives for insisting on disarming Hezbollah is to create a security vacuum in Lebanon so that, if needed, the possibility of attacking it again is provided. Today, Lebanon is witnessing one of its most sensitive political junctures in recent years; the Lebanese cabinet, in its recent session chaired by Najib Mikati, the country’s Prime Minister, approved the content of the US proposal for disarming Hezbollah and monopolizing weapons in the hands of the army, despite opposition from some ministers. The US proposal, which has faced firm opposition from the Hezbollah, was brought to Beirut by Thomas Barrack, the US Special Envoy, and with a paternalistic approach, considers disarming the Hezbollah a precondition for starting any dialogue and border demarcation, explicitly stating that this plan must either be entirely accepted or Lebanon must accept the consequences of its rejection.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Challenge of Hezbollah’s Low-Cost “FPV” Drones for the Zionist Regime

SCFR Online – Opinion: In modern warfare, it has always been assumed that the more expensive, and advanced the weapon—particularly from well-known companies—the more certain the victory will be. However, developments on the northern front of occupied Palestine in recent months have challenged this long-held belief. Here, the Zionist regime’s military, despite possessing the most advanced defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow, as well as fifth-generation F-35 fighter jets, Merkava tanks, and other modern equipment found in few countries worldwide, has effectively been rendered helpless against Hezbollah Lebanon’s few-hundred-dollar drones. Benjamin Netanyahu’s bitter admission regarding the inability to counter this threat, and his order to allocate an unlimited budget to find a solution, underscores the reality that the era of pure superiority through expensive technologies has come to an end.

The Impact of West Asian Developments on the Ukraine War

SCFR Online – Note: Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, recently announced—more than four years after the commencement of military aggression against Ukraine—that he believes the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is drawing to a close.

Temporary China–U.S. Trade Truce in the Shadow of Fundamental Distrust

SCFR Online – Opinion: The recent visit of the President of the United States to China is significant from various aspects; because China is recognized as the world’s second-largest economic power and a growing economy. The Chinese are also advancing in various fields, including the space sector, artificial intelligence, and military industries; to the extent that in the military sector, whereas they previously lacked an aircraft carrier, they now possess their third aircraft carrier. On the other hand, the United States, as a superpower, has always regarded China as its rival and continues to view it as such today.

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Lebanon

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

SCFR Online – Interview: An analyst of West Asian affairs and former Iranian diplomat in Beirut, stating that Hezbollah Lebanon has played a pivotal role in recent regional developments, remarked: “Hezbollah Lebanon has strengthened the Axis of Resistance in the Ramadan War.”

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: American-Zionist objectives in the region are not limited to weakening Hezbollah. Efforts to disarm Iraqi resistance groups such as Kata’ib Hezbollah and the Popular Mobilization Forces are also part of their subsequent plans.

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

Redefining the Discourse of Resistance After the 12-Day War

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A West Asia affairs analyst said: After the 12-day war, Iran, by redefining the discourse of resistance and utilizing media diplomacy, strengthened its soft and regional legitimacy against the Western narrative.

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

Online Strategic Council – Interview: The former Director-General of the Middle East at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: The U.S. plan to disarm Lebanon’s Hezbollah, based on Resolution 1701 issued in 2006, is not a new issue, but its timing, coinciding with the Gaza War, which started in October 2023, has placed it in a different context. This is because, simultaneously with the Gaza War, Syria underwent extensive developments, and Lebanon, which had entered the Gaza War through Hezbollah, suddenly signed a ceasefire agreement with the Israeli regime.

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The plan recently approved by the Lebanese government regarding the disarmament of Hezbollah is, in fact, an American project and scheme, which should be analyzed and assessed within the context of the developments of the past year in Lebanon, specifically the war waged by the Israeli regime against this country. The overarching goal of presenting such a plan is to enable the Israeli regime to impose new security arrangements in Lebanon as part of its efforts to change the regional order.

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A senior analyst on West Asian affairs stated that under the current circumstances, discussing the disarmament of the Resistance is not only unfeasible but could also lead to an escalation of tensions. Following the 12-day aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran, efforts in another layer to disarm Resistance groups, including Hezbollah, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF or Hashd al-Shaabi), and Hamas, have intensified as part of a coordinated project pursued to weaken the Axis of Resistance and impose American regional dominance. The U.S. proposal for Lebanon, which includes disarming Hezbollah by the end of 2025 and the withdrawal of the Israeli regime from border positions, is an attempt to transform an external conflict into an internal one. Hezbollah has firmly rejected this proposal, deeming it a violation of national sovereignty and a service to the interests of the Israeli regime, while emphasizing its defensive role. In Iraq, pressure on the Popular Mobilization Forces has been accompanied by accusations and economic sanctions, yet this group continues to stand as a popular force against external threats. Hamas, despite heavy attacks by the Israeli regime, has continued its resistance and rejected a recent ceasefire proposal in exchange for disarmament. These plans, supported by U.S. and allied diplomatic and economic backing, seek to alter the balance of power in the region. Still, the resistance of the groups and popular support have prevented the realization of these objectives.

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A researcher on Lebanese affairs stated: Under intense US pressure, Lebanon’s current government is hastily finalizing the gas dossier in the Eastern Mediterranean; an action that benefits the US, the Israeli regime, and their allies, and may result in Lebanon losing approximately five thousand square kilometers of area containing its gas and oil wealth. In this regard, the Al-Akhbar newspaper wrote: What is happening today is not merely a maritime negotiation, but a battle over sovereignty and survival that is feared will end unilaterally at a bargaining table where there is no room for national interests.

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Arab world affairs said: One of the Zionist regime’s primary motives for insisting on disarming Hezbollah is to create a security vacuum in Lebanon so that, if needed, the possibility of attacking it again is provided. Today, Lebanon is witnessing one of its most sensitive political junctures in recent years; the Lebanese cabinet, in its recent session chaired by Najib Mikati, the country’s Prime Minister, approved the content of the US proposal for disarming Hezbollah and monopolizing weapons in the hands of the army, despite opposition from some ministers. The US proposal, which has faced firm opposition from the Hezbollah, was brought to Beirut by Thomas Barrack, the US Special Envoy, and with a paternalistic approach, considers disarming the Hezbollah a precondition for starting any dialogue and border demarcation, explicitly stating that this plan must either be entirely accepted or Lebanon must accept the consequences of its rejection.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Challenge of Hezbollah’s Low-Cost “FPV” Drones for the Zionist Regime

SCFR Online – Opinion: In modern warfare, it has always been assumed that the more expensive, and advanced the weapon—particularly from well-known companies—the more certain the victory will be. However, developments on the northern front of occupied Palestine in recent months have challenged this long-held belief. Here, the Zionist regime’s military, despite possessing the most advanced defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow, as well as fifth-generation F-35 fighter jets, Merkava tanks, and other modern equipment found in few countries worldwide, has effectively been rendered helpless against Hezbollah Lebanon’s few-hundred-dollar drones. Benjamin Netanyahu’s bitter admission regarding the inability to counter this threat, and his order to allocate an unlimited budget to find a solution, underscores the reality that the era of pure superiority through expensive technologies has come to an end.

The Impact of West Asian Developments on the Ukraine War

SCFR Online – Note: Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, recently announced—more than four years after the commencement of military aggression against Ukraine—that he believes the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is drawing to a close.

Temporary China–U.S. Trade Truce in the Shadow of Fundamental Distrust

SCFR Online – Opinion: The recent visit of the President of the United States to China is significant from various aspects; because China is recognized as the world’s second-largest economic power and a growing economy. The Chinese are also advancing in various fields, including the space sector, artificial intelligence, and military industries; to the extent that in the military sector, whereas they previously lacked an aircraft carrier, they now possess their third aircraft carrier. On the other hand, the United States, as a superpower, has always regarded China as its rival and continues to view it as such today.

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Lebanon

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

SCFR Online – Interview: An analyst of West Asian affairs and former Iranian diplomat in Beirut, stating that Hezbollah Lebanon has played a pivotal role in recent regional developments, remarked: “Hezbollah Lebanon has strengthened the Axis of Resistance in the Ramadan War.”

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

The Security Equation of Southern Lebanon for the Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: American-Zionist objectives in the region are not limited to weakening Hezbollah. Efforts to disarm Iraqi resistance groups such as Kata’ib Hezbollah and the Popular Mobilization Forces are also part of their subsequent plans.

An Analysis of Hezbollah Lebanon’s Significant Role in the Ramadan War

Redefining the Discourse of Resistance After the 12-Day War

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A West Asia affairs analyst said: After the 12-day war, Iran, by redefining the discourse of resistance and utilizing media diplomacy, strengthened its soft and regional legitimacy against the Western narrative.

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

The Plan to Disarm Hezbollah and the Future of Lebanon

Online Strategic Council – Interview: The former Director-General of the Middle East at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: The U.S. plan to disarm Lebanon’s Hezbollah, based on Resolution 1701 issued in 2006, is not a new issue, but its timing, coinciding with the Gaza War, which started in October 2023, has placed it in a different context. This is because, simultaneously with the Gaza War, Syria underwent extensive developments, and Lebanon, which had entered the Gaza War through Hezbollah, suddenly signed a ceasefire agreement with the Israeli regime.

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Disarming Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Probable Scenarios

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The plan recently approved by the Lebanese government regarding the disarmament of Hezbollah is, in fact, an American project and scheme, which should be analyzed and assessed within the context of the developments of the past year in Lebanon, specifically the war waged by the Israeli regime against this country. The overarching goal of presenting such a plan is to enable the Israeli regime to impose new security arrangements in Lebanon as part of its efforts to change the regional order.

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Dimensions and Implications of Parallel Efforts to Disarm the Resistance in West Asia

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A senior analyst on West Asian affairs stated that under the current circumstances, discussing the disarmament of the Resistance is not only unfeasible but could also lead to an escalation of tensions. Following the 12-day aggression by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran, efforts in another layer to disarm Resistance groups, including Hezbollah, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF or Hashd al-Shaabi), and Hamas, have intensified as part of a coordinated project pursued to weaken the Axis of Resistance and impose American regional dominance. The U.S. proposal for Lebanon, which includes disarming Hezbollah by the end of 2025 and the withdrawal of the Israeli regime from border positions, is an attempt to transform an external conflict into an internal one. Hezbollah has firmly rejected this proposal, deeming it a violation of national sovereignty and a service to the interests of the Israeli regime, while emphasizing its defensive role. In Iraq, pressure on the Popular Mobilization Forces has been accompanied by accusations and economic sanctions, yet this group continues to stand as a popular force against external threats. Hamas, despite heavy attacks by the Israeli regime, has continued its resistance and rejected a recent ceasefire proposal in exchange for disarmament. These plans, supported by U.S. and allied diplomatic and economic backing, seek to alter the balance of power in the region. Still, the resistance of the groups and popular support have prevented the realization of these objectives.

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

An Analysis of the Gas Tension in the Eastern Mediterranean to Lebanon’s Detriment

Strategic Council Online – Interview: A researcher on Lebanese affairs stated: Under intense US pressure, Lebanon’s current government is hastily finalizing the gas dossier in the Eastern Mediterranean; an action that benefits the US, the Israeli regime, and their allies, and may result in Lebanon losing approximately five thousand square kilometers of area containing its gas and oil wealth. In this regard, the Al-Akhbar newspaper wrote: What is happening today is not merely a maritime negotiation, but a battle over sovereignty and survival that is feared will end unilaterally at a bargaining table where there is no room for national interests.

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Consequences of the “Lebanon Minus Resistance” Scenario

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Arab world affairs said: One of the Zionist regime’s primary motives for insisting on disarming Hezbollah is to create a security vacuum in Lebanon so that, if needed, the possibility of attacking it again is provided. Today, Lebanon is witnessing one of its most sensitive political junctures in recent years; the Lebanese cabinet, in its recent session chaired by Najib Mikati, the country’s Prime Minister, approved the content of the US proposal for disarming Hezbollah and monopolizing weapons in the hands of the army, despite opposition from some ministers. The US proposal, which has faced firm opposition from the Hezbollah, was brought to Beirut by Thomas Barrack, the US Special Envoy, and with a paternalistic approach, considers disarming the Hezbollah a precondition for starting any dialogue and border demarcation, explicitly stating that this plan must either be entirely accepted or Lebanon must accept the consequences of its rejection.

ÚLTIMAS PUBLICACIONES

Europe’s Enduring Dependence on Persian Gulf Energy

SCFR Online – Opinion: The dominant discourse in the field of European energy security over the past two decades has revolved around diversification of supply sources and the gradual reduction of dependence on fossil fuels. This narrative, which gained particular momentum after the Ukraine gas crisis in 2006 and its intensification in 2014 and 2022, was based on the assumption that Europe could free itself from the geopolitical vulnerabilities arising from dependence on specific suppliers through investment in renewable energy, imports of liquefied natural gas from diversified sources, and the establishment of new infrastructure. However, a closer analysis of energy trade data and the structure of the global oil and gas supply chain presents a different picture. Europe has not only failed to meaningfully reduce its dependence on the Persian Gulf, but in some sectors — particularly in liquefied natural gas imports — this dependence has deepened. This reality, which is often overlooked in public discourse, raises fundamental questions about the sustainability of Europe’s energy security strategies and their impact on regional power equations.

The Challenge of Hezbollah’s Low-Cost “FPV” Drones for the Zionist Regime

SCFR Online – Opinion: In modern warfare, it has always been assumed that the more expensive, and advanced the weapon—particularly from well-known companies—the more certain the victory will be. However, developments on the northern front of occupied Palestine in recent months have challenged this long-held belief. Here, the Zionist regime’s military, despite possessing the most advanced defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow, as well as fifth-generation F-35 fighter jets, Merkava tanks, and other modern equipment found in few countries worldwide, has effectively been rendered helpless against Hezbollah Lebanon’s few-hundred-dollar drones. Benjamin Netanyahu’s bitter admission regarding the inability to counter this threat, and his order to allocate an unlimited budget to find a solution, underscores the reality that the era of pure superiority through expensive technologies has come to an end.

The Impact of West Asian Developments on the Ukraine War

SCFR Online – Note: Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, recently announced—more than four years after the commencement of military aggression against Ukraine—that he believes the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is drawing to a close.

Temporary China–U.S. Trade Truce in the Shadow of Fundamental Distrust

SCFR Online – Opinion: The recent visit of the President of the United States to China is significant from various aspects; because China is recognized as the world’s second-largest economic power and a growing economy. The Chinese are also advancing in various fields, including the space sector, artificial intelligence, and military industries; to the extent that in the military sector, whereas they previously lacked an aircraft carrier, they now possess their third aircraft carrier. On the other hand, the United States, as a superpower, has always regarded China as its rival and continues to view it as such today.

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