Although since the Stockholm Conference on Yemen, the Saudi Coalition has so far under different excuses and in various ways acted against the ceasefire process and has openly and clandestinely deviated from the provisions of the agreement, nevertheless, the prevailing political conditions and atmosphere has compelled the Riyadh and Abu Dhabi authorities to take small steps in compliance with the Stockholm Agreement. Therefore, despite all the obstructions, it can be said that the ceasefire agreement is now on the road to implementation.

Of course, this achievement is on the one hand due to the actions of the Ansarullah Movement in implementation of the provisions of the Stockholm Agreement (this action by Ansarullah has increased the global demands from the Saudi Coalition), and, on the other hand, the emergence of favorable conditions for the implementation of the truce should be regarded among the UN measures to fulfill some of the provisions of the Stockholm Agreement, including the exchange of prisoners, as well as the deployment of observer forces at the port of al-Hudaydah.

This is happening under conditions that the international atmosphere is by no means ready for continuation of the land aggression and airstrikes by the Saudi Coalition, in particular, that opposition to the continuation of the Yemeni war has spread to the political levels and the Western supporters of the Coalition have underlined the need to observe the ceasefire agreement.

Of course, the Saudi Coalition does not want a continuation of the fighting due to successive defeats in the land, air, and seafronts, and what makes them eager to continue the war is the hope that before the end of the field operations, they would gain minimum concessions. Anyway, according to the Stockholm Agreement arrangements were made to hold a 2-day conference in Amman, Jordan to discuss the exchange of thousands of prisoners.

On the other hand, the United Nations has decided to deploy a group of international observers at al-Hudaydah which will help reduce the fragility of the current ceasefire.

Meanwhile, while the Saudi Coalition continues to engage in military operations and killing civilians in battlefields except in al-Hudaydah, the routes to supply food and medicine to Yemen have not been opened yet, and the blockade has made the job so difficult for Ansarullah. Nevertheless, the current situation is more favorable than the conditions before the ceasefire, and the Yemeni people can take advantage of the situation and continue to resist the aggressors.

The emergence of such a situation is the result of the prevailing international mood and global opposition to the Yemeni war, the same conditions that can provide a prospect of hope for the Yemeni people after nearly four years of a full-scale war.

Thus, one scenario about the future of Yemen is that, although the strategic importance of Yemen and its key position in Bab al-Mandeb would not completely eliminate international and regional disturbances, however, the aggressors are not in a position to be able to continue their crimes in Yemen. Of course, another scenario, which is highly regarded by the regional Coalition and the Western countries, is an attempt to divide and disintegrate Yemen with the aim of preventing the establishment of a powerful and democratic state alongside the kingdom of Saudi Arabia. They also want to take advantage of the rivalries between the divided parts as a factor to further undermine Yemen.

However, the most optimistic scenario in this regard is to prepare the grounds for a referendum and an election that all Yemeni people will participate in and to vote in favor of establishing a democratic and powerful government that would represent all parts of Yemen.