Hamid Khoshayand – an expert on regional issues

Concerning the recent conflicts, three important issues are raised: First, the new dimensions of the recent battle in which we are witnessing “unprecedented” attacks by Hezbollah against the positions of the Zionist regime in the Occupied Territories. Second, the “options” of the Hezbollah and the Resistance fighters against the recent aggressions of the Zionist regime, and third, the “perspective” of the recent conflicts that will determine the direction of future developments in the region.

Regarding the first issue, the most important point that exists and is repeated these days in the media and the statements of the military and political authorities of the Zionist regime is the “unprecedented” nature of Hezbollah’s attacks in various aspects. Hezbollah’s missile and drone attacks in response to the crimes of the Zionist regime in Gaza and its terrorist operations in Lebanon are sufficiently “severe and accurate” to the extent that its missile operations have created a wide “ring of fire” up to a depth of 60 kilometers and covering 2 million Zionists.

Regarding the second issue and Hezbollah’s options in the current battle, it should be noted that although there is no indication of the details of Hezbollah’s military and operational options, the battle of the Lebanese Resistance against the Zionist regime is definitely associated with newer tactics and more deadly military strikes. Moreover, Sheikh Naim Qassam, the Deputy Secretary General of Lebanon’s Hezbollah, has emphasized: “The Hezbollah has entered a new phase called the “Unlimited Settlement Movement.”

The Lebanese Resistance, using Fadi-1 and Fadi-2 missiles, targets strategic areas such as Ramat David military base and airport, Rafael military complex, Megiddo military airport, Amos military base (the main transportation and logistics support base of the northern region), Zakharon ammunition factory, the occupied Haifa, Aka and even the center of occupied Palestine, Ben Gurion Airport, is only a small part of this “Unlimited Settlement.”

Certainly, the “psychological consequences” caused by Hezbollah’s actions, the political, social, demographic, economic, etc. consequences, will show themselves in the short term among the residents of the Occupied Territories and will make life in occupied Palestine much more “difficult” for the Zionists.

But in response to the question of how can the prospects of the current conflicts be evaluated, it must be emphasized that the Zionist regime will not achieve the vision it has defined for its terrorist operations and unprecedented and brutal attacks on Lebanon, which aims to “separate the Lebanese front from Gaza” and “weaken the Hezbollah.”

The explosions of electronic devices and the recent assassinations in Lebanon have not affected the structure of the Lebanese Resistance, its cohesion and leadership, and its various dimensions. Because the structure is designed to be complex, precise, and powerful, eliminating individuals will not disrupt the process of its activities and goals. Although commanders and warriors play a prominent role in this leadership structure, its survival does not depend on individuals.

Netanyahu, who talks about transferring the load of the war from Gaza to Lebanon and claims to “return Lebanon to 20 years ago”, not only has not achieved any of his declared goals in the Gaza war, including the destruction of Hamas and the return of prisoners, but the existence and the survival of the Zionist regime has also faced strategic threats.

A regime that is defeated in the small field of Gaza against Hamas and Islamic Jihad, which have the least military and defense facilities, can never succeed in Lebanon against Hezbollah, which is more powerful in every way and has deep and dynamic political, social and religious ties with the Lebanese. Significantly, the people and various political currents in Lebanon have come to believe that only the “weapon of resistance” can create a “deterrence” against the killing machine and the axis of the Zionist-American genocide.

In addition, the current situation is very different from 2006. In addition to the “strategic power” Hezbollah has enjoyed, the conditions in the region have also entirely changed so that any “miscalculation” by the Zionist regime can lead to a “harsh reaction” by all members of the Islamic Resistance in the region, especially in Yemen, Iraq, and Syria.

In any case, what is clear is that until the war in Gaza is stopped, Hezbollah’s operations against the Zionist regime will continue. In addition, the population of the north will not be able to return as long as the war in Gaza continues. The Secretary-General of Lebanon’s Hezbollah has clearly stated that there will be no return under military operations. The only way forward is an agreement with Hamas and an end to the war against the people of Gaza.

The Zionist regime will be the “loser” of any conflict with Hezbollah, either at the present stage or in the future. Even if the usurper regime tries to invade Lebanon by land, which seems very unlikely

Because, basically, it does not have the capabilities to start a full-scale land battle, it will certainly face defeat. In addition, Hezbollah has also announced that any entry of the Zionist regime into Lebanese soil will be tantamount to a “historic opportunity” for them to target the enemy, which will have wide-ranging effects on the battlefront.