Prospects of Field Developments after Israel-UAE Agreement

2020/09/09 | interview, Politics, top news

Strategic Council Online - An expert on West Asian affairs said that what the Americans are saying in terms of achieving their goals or changing the course of peace in the Middle East is more propaganda and media feed, adding “The Arab states of the Persian Gulf have considerations and they know that this action will have serious consequences for them.”

In an interview with the website of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations, Seyed Reza Mirabian, referring to the remarks of Jared Kouchner, Trump’s senior adviser, that the Abu Dhabi-Tel Aviv agreement will change the path of peace in the Middle East, said: That the Americans think the region will face great transformation with this deal is their point of view, but it must be noted that the change they have in mid will not be possible and it is not the case that the situation in the region is shaped to their liking.

He added: “Even countries close to the UAE, such as Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, have so far refused to accept this deal.” Despite Kouchner and (Secretary of State Mike) Pompeo’s visits to these countries, they did not accomplish what they were looking for. Even countries like Oman and Morocco, which thought they would follow suit did not do so.

The West Asian affairs expert said: “It is predicted that these countries will look to see where the developments are going. Overall, given the dangers and unpredictable consequences, they are unlikely to follow in the footsteps of the UAE.”

Propaganda Claims to Change Course of Peace in Middle East

“What the Americans are saying about achieving their goals or changing the course of peace in the Middle East is more propaganda and media hype,” Mirabian said.

Referring to news reports that Qatar has held talks with the Zionist regime to end tensions and reach an agreement, he said the issue of Qatar-Israel talks has nothing to do with the issue of the UAE-Israel agreement.”

Qatar has mediated several times between the Israelis and the Palestinians, and specifically Hamas, because the Israelis are worried about a conflict with Hamas due to the pressure they feel from Hamas.

Persian Gulf States Not Cooperating with UAE

Noting that even Qatar has not agreed to follow the UAE course, Mirabian continued: “Certainly, these countries have considerations and they know that this action will have serious consequences for them.”

The West Asian expert also referred to some analyzes that in the coming months until the US elections, some Arab countries will join the UAE and establish relations with Israel, and these measures will start new trends in the Middle East. Given the overall situation on the ground in the region, these countries do not seem to be doing this because they are not sure Trump will remain in office. Therefore, they would not fall victims to Trump whose political future is currently unknown.

He explained: “All these efforts were for Trump to announce that he had made achievements in the election. What the UAE did with Israel already existed; now the tip of the ice has been found, otherwise the ice is still in the water! The Emirates have already worked very closely with Israel. Only the title “normalization of relations” was used because of the propaganda operation so that Trump could win the election.

Referring to US problems in foreign policy and the failure of Trump’s goals in this regard, Mirabian said: “Despite the hopes of the US and Israel, other countries will not join this process.” Meantime, if Trump disappears from the political arena, the UAE too will not have the current position in US foreign policy. The Crown Prince of the UAE and Saudi Muhammad bin Salman himself in Saudi Arabia are the favorites of Kouchner and Trump, in particular, were Kushner and Mr. Trump. But the status of these gentlemen will change with the removal of Trump from the American political scene.

The West Asian expert also referred to consultations with the Zionist regime to reduce tensions with Palestine and said: “It is not clear that these consultations will really lead to a reduction of tensions, because Hamas has made it “conditional.”

He added: “Hamas did not send incendiary balloons over Israel because, first of all, Israel would increase the depth of the Gaza coast for Palestinian fishermen and the people of Gaza and break the economic siege.” In addition, Hamas has made this conditional and given Israel a deadline. If Israel does not abide by this agreement, Hamas will increase its pressure on Israel, and future responses will probably not be limited to incendiary balloons, and developments may even move in a different direction.

Arab states | Gaza | Incendiary balloons | Israel | Kouchner | Middle East | Middle East Peace | Morocco | Oman | Pompeo | Reza Mirabian

https://scfr.ir/en/?p=126926

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